Live EV & observed odds · Courtyard mystery packs
Know what a pack is worth before you rip it.
PullValue is a free expected-value tracker for Courtyard mystery packs. It indexes every recorded pull and turns it into live EV ratios, observed odds, hit rates, and verdicts — but only on packs whose sample actually supports one. Where the data is thin we say so instead of guessing.
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RELIABLE SIGNALBUYFootball Platinum Pack
1.226x
cash-out EV ÷ pack price
- Cash-out EV
- $613.19
- Pack price
- $500.00
- Packs tracked
- 211
- Pulls indexed
- 197,872
- Top EV · ranked packs
- $5,442
- Last pull indexed
- 9m ago
01 / Rankings
Courtyard pack rankings by cash-out ratio

01Football Platinum Pack
BUY- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 35.6%
- Sample
- 132

02Basketball Diamond Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $1,000
- Hit rate
- 45.8%
- Sample
- 59

03Baseball Platinum Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 35.7%
- Sample
- 84

04Pokémon Starter Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 31.2%
- Sample
- 38,558

05One Piece Ultra Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 35.5%
- Sample
- 256

06Pokémon Platinum Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 37.8%
- Sample
- 376

07Sports Starter Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 35.5%
- Sample
- 3,969

08Pokémon Diamond (Spicy)
CAUTION- Price
- $999
- Hit rate
- 34.4%
- Sample
- 358

09Sports Ultra Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 38.6%
- Sample
- 127

10Pokémon Platinum (Spicy)
CAUTION- Price
- $499
- Hit rate
- 36.0%
- Sample
- 810

11Soccer Starter Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 33.6%
- Sample
- 1,183

12Football Ultra Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 32.1%
- Sample
- 290

13Wildcard Starter Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 29.6%
- Sample
- 3,571

14Basketball Platinum Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 33.8%
- Sample
- 133

15Pokémon Diamond Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $1,000
- Hit rate
- 38.1%
- Sample
- 173

16Football Starter Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 30.5%
- Sample
- 3,542

17One Piece Starter Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 31.2%
- Sample
- 1,936

18Hockey Starter Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 33.5%
- Sample
- 665

19Pokémon Basic Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 29.3%
- Sample
- 9,290

20Basketball Starter Pack
SKIP- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 30.6%
- Sample
- 2,417

21Soccer Pro Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 32.5%
- Sample
- 1,179

22Wildcard Ultra Pack
SKIP- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 33.3%
- Sample
- 87

23Pokémon Pro Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 31.8%
- Sample
- 13,055

24Sports Master Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 25.7%
- Sample
- 393

25Baseball Master Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 33.6%
- Sample
- 560

26Basketball Pro Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 31.6%
- Sample
- 1,879

27Pokémon Ultra (Spicy)
CAUTION- Price
- $249
- Hit rate
- 37.1%
- Sample
- 2,537

28Baseball Basic Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 26.0%
- Sample
- 1,155

29One Piece Master Pack
SKIP- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 29.8%
- Sample
- 1,081

30Hockey Pro Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 33.7%
- Sample
- 590

31Wildcard Pro Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 30.1%
- Sample
- 857

32Basketball Master Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 29.4%
- Sample
- 999

33Football Master Pack
SKIP- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 32.3%
- Sample
- 1,094

34Comic Pro Pack
SKIP- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 36.0%
- Sample
- 1,396

35Sports Basic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 25.7%
- Sample
- 5,684

36Football Basic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 23.6%
- Sample
- 602

37Sports Pro Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 33.3%
- Sample
- 829

38Wildcard Basic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 27.1%
- Sample
- 18,967

39Football Pro Pack
SKIP- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 30.4%
- Sample
- 2,381

40Hockey Ultra Pack
SKIP- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 28.2%
- Sample
- 103

41Baseball Starter Pack
SKIP- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 29.4%
- Sample
- 2,679

42Hockey Master Pack
SKIP- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 30.5%
- Sample
- 361

43Baseball Pro Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 29.3%
- Sample
- 1,018

44One Piece Pro Pack
SKIP- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 31.3%
- Sample
- 2,214

45Pokémon Legend Pack
SKIP- Price
- $2,500
- Hit rate
- 25.4%
- Sample
- 71

46One Piece Platinum Pack
SKIP- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 31.9%
- Sample
- 113

47Pokémon Master Pack
SKIP- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 30.7%
- Sample
- 6,787

48Soccer Master Pack
SKIP- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 32.4%
- Sample
- 782

49Pokémon Ultra Pack
SKIP- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 32.0%
- Sample
- 716

50Wildcard Master Pack
SKIP- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 30.3%
- Sample
- 468

51Basketball Basic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 23.9%
- Sample
- 398

52$100 Ancient Coins Pack
SKIP- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 26.1%
- Sample
- 522

53$150 U.S. Coins Pack
SKIP- Price
- $150
- Hit rate
- 35.6%
- Sample
- 393

54Basketball Ultra Pack
SKIP- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 27.0%
- Sample
- 334

55$250 Ancient Coins Pack
SKIP- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 18.5%
- Sample
- 108

56Baseball Ultra Pack
SKIP- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 26.7%
- Sample
- 165

57One Piece PSA 10
SKIP- Price
- $69
- Hit rate
- 25.9%
- Sample
- 1,415

58One Piece Diamond Pack
SKIP- Price
- $1,000
- Hit rate
- 21.9%
- Sample
- 64

59Soccer Platinum Pack
SKIP- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 29.0%
- Sample
- 107

60Pokémon Legend (Spicy)
CAUTION- Price
- $2,499
- Hit rate
- 36.1%
- Sample
- 97

61Football Legend Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $2,500
- Hit rate
- 45.5%
- Sample
- 11

62Sports Platinum Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 33.9%
- Sample
- 59

63$500 Shipwreck Coins Pack
CAUTION- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 35.6%
- Sample
- 59

64Baseball Mythic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $5,000
- Hit rate
- 50.0%
- Sample
- 6

65SLAM Pack
SKIP- Price
- $120
- Hit rate
- 24.2%
- Sample
- 66

66$500 U.S. Coins Pack
SKIP- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 18.9%
- Sample
- 37

67Wildcard Platinum Pack
SKIP- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 23.9%
- Sample
- 46

68Baseball Diamond Pack
SKIP- Price
- $1,000
- Hit rate
- 39.4%
- Sample
- 33

69Pokémon Mythic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $5,000
- Hit rate
- 26.7%
- Sample
- 101

70Classic Watch Box
SKIP- Price
- $5,000
- Hit rate
- 25.0%
- Sample
- 24

71Hockey Platinum Pack
SKIP- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 30.4%
- Sample
- 46

72Baseball Legend Pack
SKIP- Price
- $2,500
- Hit rate
- 18.2%
- Sample
- 11

73$1500 U.S. Coins Pack
SKIP- Price
- $1,500
- Hit rate
- 11.1%
- Sample
- 18

74Basketball Legend Pack
SKIP- Price
- $2,500
- Hit rate
- 13.3%
- Sample
- 15

75Basketball Mythic Pack
SKIP- Price
- $5,000
- Hit rate
- 21.1%
- Sample
- 19

76Comic Diamond Pack
SKIP- Price
- $1,000
- Hit rate
- 14.3%
- Sample
- 14

77The Eras Collection: Encore (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- $69
- Hit rate
- 75.0%
- Sample
- 4

78Bronze Age Pack
NO DATA- Price
- $200
- Hit rate
- 36.8%
- Sample
- 76

79One Piece: Grand Voyage Encore
NO DATA- Price
- $149
- Hit rate
- 34.3%
- Sample
- 35

80Silver Age Pack
NO DATA- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 40.0%
- Sample
- 10

81Sports PSA 10
NO DATA- Price
- $179
- Hit rate
- 32.4%
- Sample
- 37

82Modern Age Pack
NO DATA- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 37.5%
- Sample
- 80

83Pokémon Heat Week: Reaper
NO DATA- Price
- $749
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 1

84Pokémon Heat Week: Ghost
NO DATA- Price
- $749
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 3

85The Final Whistle: Spain
NO DATA- Price
- $79
- Hit rate
- 33.3%
- Sample
- 3

86Rolex, AP and Patek Philippe Watch Box
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3

87Sports Cosmic Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 20

88Pokémon Cosmic Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 14

89Premier Watch Box
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 11

90Pokémon VIP Cosmic
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 7

91Sports Mythic Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 13

92Football Mythic Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1

93One Piece Legend Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 43

94Comic Legend Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 9

95Sports Legend Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 18

96Wildcard Legend Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 5

97Pokémon VIP (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 250

98Sports VIP (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 131

99Sports 3: Inferno
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 6

100Sports 2: Reaper
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1

101Football Diamond Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 34

102Wildcard Inferno
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 65

103Wildcard 3: Inferno
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 21

104Wildcard Ghost
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3

105Pokémon 1: Ghost
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1

106Wildcard Diamond Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 24

107Sports Reaper
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 26

108Sports Diamond Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 29

109Sports Ghost
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 15

110Sports Ghost Gold+
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 13

111Wildcard Reaper
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 4

112Pokémon 3: Inferno
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 10

113Sports Inferno
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 32

114Baseball Inferno Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 36

115Pokémon Inferno
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 22

116Baseball Reaper Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 18

117Pokémon 2: Reaper
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

118Sports Just the Hits!
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 17

119$500 Watch Box
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 233

120Baseball Ghost Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 32

121Gengar's Game: Gold Edition
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 411

122Sports Just the Hits! (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 64

123Comic Platinum Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 46

124The World Stage VIP Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1

125Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 11-11.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 21

126Courtyard Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 11-11.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 47

127Courtyard Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 12-13)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 56

128Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 8-8.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 18

129Summer Pull Party (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

130Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 12-13)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 22

131Courtyard Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 8-8.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 43
132The Backroom
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 202

133Courtyard Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 10-10.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 70

134Comic Ultra Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 194

135Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 9-9.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 16

136Pikachu Van Gogh Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 471

137Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 10-10.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 27

138Courtyard Sneakers Pack (US Men’s 9-9.5)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 72

139Gengar's Game Night 4
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 228

140Sports City Series
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 101

141Bussin’ With The Boys National Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 56

142Sports Vintage: All-Time Heat
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 146

143Sports GOAT
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 141

144Spider-Man Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

145Sports Vintage: Hall Pass
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 55

146Football: Round 3 (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 50

147American League (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 114

148Football: Round 2 (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 58

149National League (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 117

150American League Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1

151Boys of Summer
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 21

152Sports PSA 10 (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 19

15330th Anniversary: Silver
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 239

154The Amazing Chase Encore
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 345

155The Amazing Chase Gold+
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1

156US Grand Prix
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 66

15730th Anniversary: Yellow
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 81

158Hockey PSA 10
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

159The Eras Collection: Origins
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 5

160$150 Coin Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 9

161Basketball Opening Week ($30k Jordan 1 Bounty)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 565

162The Eras Collection: Ascension
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

163Gengar's Game Night 3
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 661

164Gengar's Game: Encore
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1,427

165Hockey PSA 10 (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 285

166Comic Master Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 585

167Football: Round 1
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 27

16830th Anniversary: Emerald
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 203

169Baseball October Royalty
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 139

170Football PSA 10 (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 718

171Baseball October Royalty (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 187

172Basketball PSA 10 (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3

173Most Wanted: Pokémon
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 213

174Pokemon: The Amazing Chase Day 5
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 86

175Monday Night Matchup (Spicy)
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 61

176Gengar's Game Night 2
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1,143

177Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 4
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 62

178Baseball PSA 10
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 123

179National League Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3

180Bussin' with the Boys
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 225

181Chase the Chu
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1,484

18230th Anniversary: Gold
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 400

183One Piece: Grand Voyage - Grand Line
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 24

18430th Anniversary: Encore
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1,858

185football-mnf-commanders-49ers
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 4

186Basketball Cup Tournament
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1,015

187Pokémon Water & Grass
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 58

188Basketball Opening Week
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 378

189The Eras Collection: Generation
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

190Monday Night Matchup
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 632

191Pokémon EX Pack
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 58

192Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 3
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 96

193Pokémon PSA 10
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 4,614

194The Final Whistle: Argentina
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3

19530th Anniversary - Day 3: Crystal
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 16

196The Eras Collection: Encore
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2

197One Piece: Grand Voyage - East Blue
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 53

19830th Anniversary: Crystal
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 978

199Sports Vintage: Throwback
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 349

200Monday Night Game
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 198

201Fire & Electric
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2,337

20230th Anniversary: Blue
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 842

203One Piece: Grand Voyage - New World
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 44

204Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 2
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 153

205Gengar's Game Night 1
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3,358

20630th Anniversary - Day 2: Blue
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 990

207Sealed Pokémon Booster
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 9,975

208Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 1
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 324

20930th Anniversary: Red
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 4,820

21030th Anniversary - Day 1: Red
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 4,901

211Sealed Magic: The Gathering Booster
NO DATA- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3,396
Full comparison table
Every pack, every number, side by side.
| # | Pack | Price | Calibrated EV | Cash-out ratio | Hit rate | 7d trend | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable signals(59)30+ indexed pulls, fresh data, and a data-quality score of 70 or better. | |||||||
| 01 | Football Platinum PackFootballCurrent86% | $500 | $706.44 | 1.226x | 35.6% | BUY | |
| 02 | Basketball Diamond PackBasketballCurrent55% | $1,000 | $1,214.78 | 1.028x | 45.8% | CAUTION | |
| 03 | Baseball Platinum PackBaseballCurrent54% | $500 | $598.89 | 1.023x | 35.7% | CAUTION | |
| 04 | Pokémon Starter PackPokémonCurrent85% | $25 | $27.41 | 0.985x | 31.2% | CAUTION | |
| 05 | One Piece Ultra PackOne PieceCurrent100% | $250 | $289.60 | 0.980x | 35.5% | CAUTION | |
| 06 | Pokémon Platinum PackPokémonCurrent42% | $500 | $559.46 | 0.976x | 37.8% | CAUTION | |
| 07 | Sports Starter PackBaseballCurrent54% | $25 | $27.95 | 0.975x | 35.5% | CAUTION | |
| 08 | Pokémon Diamond (Spicy)PokémonModern34% | $999 | $1,139.83 | 0.967x | 34.4% | CAUTION | |
| 09 | Sports Ultra PackBasketballCurrent60% | $250 | $284.80 | 0.966x | 38.6% | CAUTION | |
| 10 | Pokémon Platinum (Spicy)PokémonCurrent40% | $499 | $545.02 | 0.935x | 36.0% | CAUTION | |
| 11 | Soccer Starter PackSoccerCurrent63% | $25 | $25.69 | 0.933x | 33.6% | CAUTION | |
| 12 | Football Ultra PackFootballCurrent80% | $250 | $274.16 | 0.929x | 32.1% | CAUTION | |
| 13 | Wildcard Starter PackBaseballCurrent64% | $25 | $26.54 | 0.919x | 29.6% | CAUTION | |
| 14 | Basketball Platinum PackBasketballCurrent52% | $500 | $529.42 | 0.918x | 33.8% | CAUTION | |
| 15 | Pokémon Diamond PackPokémonCurrent30% | $1,000 | $1,083.23 | 0.916x | 38.1% | CAUTION | |
| 16 | Football Starter PackFootballCurrent66% | $25 | $25.30 | 0.914x | 30.5% | CAUTION | |
| 17 | One Piece Starter PackOne PieceCurrent100% | $25 | $25.46 | 0.911x | 31.2% | CAUTION | |
| 18 | Hockey Starter PackHockeyCurrent50% | $25 | $25.10 | 0.904x | 33.5% | CAUTION | |
| 19 | Pokémon Basic PackPokémonCurrent85% | $15 | $15.50 | 0.900x | 29.3% | CAUTION | |
| 20 | Basketball Starter PackBasketballCurrent57% | $25 | $24.94 | 0.899x | 30.6% | SKIP | |
| 21 | Soccer Pro PackSoccerCurrent80% | $50 | $52.27 | 0.899x | 32.5% | CAUTION | |
| 22 | Wildcard Ultra PackBaseballCurrent53% | $250 | $264.71 | 0.899x | 33.3% | SKIP | |
| 23 | Pokémon Pro PackPokémonCurrent75% | $50 | $52.36 | 0.896x | 31.8% | CAUTION | |
| 24 | Sports Master PackFootballCurrent54% | $100 | $104.42 | 0.895x | 25.7% | CAUTION | |
| 25 | Baseball Master PackBaseballVintage55% | $100 | $104.41 | 0.891x | 33.6% | CAUTION | |
| 26 | Basketball Pro PackBasketballCurrent61% | $50 | $51.46 | 0.887x | 31.6% | CAUTION | |
| 27 | Pokémon Ultra (Spicy)PokémonCurrent47% | $249 | $260.64 | 0.886x | 37.1% | CAUTION | |
| 28 | Baseball Basic PackBaseballCurrent54% | $15 | $15.34 | 0.880x | 26.0% | CAUTION | |
| 29 | One Piece Master PackOne PieceCurrent100% | $100 | $102.77 | 0.879x | 29.8% | SKIP | |
| 30 | Hockey Pro PackHockeyCurrent45% | $50 | $51.16 | 0.876x | 33.7% | CAUTION | |
| 31 | Wildcard Pro PackBasketballCurrent75% | $50 | $51.36 | 0.876x | 30.1% | CAUTION | |
| 32 | Basketball Master PackBasketballCurrent64% | $100 | $102.28 | 0.874x | 29.4% | CAUTION | |
| 33 | Football Master PackFootballCurrent80% | $100 | $102.06 | 0.871x | 32.3% | SKIP | |
| 34 | Comic Pro PackMarvel Comic | $50 | $51.11 | 0.871x | 36.0% | SKIP | |
| 35 | Sports Basic PackBaseballCurrent54% | $15 | $15.08 | 0.869x | 25.7% | SKIP | |
| 36 | Football Basic PackFootballCurrent67% | $15 | $14.93 | 0.867x | 23.6% | SKIP | |
| 37 | Sports Pro PackBaseballCurrent50% | $50 | $50.53 | 0.865x | 33.3% | CAUTION | |
| 38 | Wildcard Basic PackPokémonCurrent77% | $15 | $15.06 | 0.860x | 27.1% | SKIP | |
| 39 | Football Pro PackFootballCurrent66% | $50 | $49.97 | 0.858x | 30.4% | SKIP | |
| 40 | Hockey Ultra PackHockeyCurrent54% | $250 | $253.62 | 0.858x | 28.2% | SKIP | |
| 41 | Baseball Starter PackBaseballCurrent56% | $25 | $25.04 | 0.858x | 29.4% | SKIP | |
| 42 | Hockey Master PackHockeyCurrent60% | $100 | $100.68 | 0.857x | 30.5% | SKIP | |
| 43 | Baseball Pro PackBaseballCurrent45% | $50 | $49.83 | 0.857x | 29.3% | CAUTION | |
| 44 | One Piece Pro PackOne PieceCurrent100% | $50 | $49.88 | 0.854x | 31.3% | SKIP | |
| 45 | Pokémon Legend PackPokémonRetro39% | $2,500 | $2,524.45 | 0.854x | 25.4% | SKIP | |
| 46 | One Piece Platinum PackOne PieceCurrent100% | $500 | $490.72 | 0.853x | 31.9% | SKIP | |
| 47 | Pokémon Master PackPokémonCurrent63% | $100 | $99.97 | 0.852x | 30.7% | SKIP | |
| 48 | Soccer Master PackSoccerCurrent78% | $100 | $99.84 | 0.849x | 32.4% | SKIP | |
| 49 | Pokémon Ultra PackPokémonCurrent50% | $250 | $248.41 | 0.841x | 32.0% | SKIP | |
| 50 | Wildcard Master PackSoccerCurrent61% | $100 | $97.11 | 0.827x | 30.3% | SKIP | |
| 51 | Basketball Basic PackBasketballModern49% | $15 | $14.06 | 0.811x | 23.9% | SKIP | |
| 52 | $100 Ancient Coins PackAncient | $100 | $94.60 | 0.806x | 26.1% | SKIP | |
| 53 | $150 U.S. Coins PackUSVintage100% | $150 | $142.13 | 0.802x | 35.6% | SKIP | |
| 54 | Basketball Ultra PackBasketballCurrent46% | $250 | $234.16 | 0.794x | 27.0% | SKIP | |
| 55 | $250 Ancient Coins PackAncient | $250 | $230.97 | 0.782x | 18.5% | SKIP | |
| 56 | Baseball Ultra PackBaseballVintage62% | $250 | $230.26 | 0.779x | 26.7% | SKIP | |
| 57 | One Piece PSA 10One PieceCurrent100% | $69 | $61.24 | 0.751x | 25.9% | SKIP | |
| 58 | One Piece Diamond PackOne PieceCurrent100% | $1,000 | $887.73 | 0.751x | 21.9% | SKIP | |
| 59 | Soccer Platinum PackSoccerCurrent69% | $500 | $426.00 | 0.725x | 29.0% | SKIP | |
| Emerging signals(17)Early reads only — these never carry a buy call. A pack lands here with 5-29 indexed pulls, or with more than that when its effective sample, freshness or data-quality score falls short of the reliable bar. | |||||||
| 60 | Pokémon Legend (Spicy)PokémonModern32% | $2,499 | $3,708.44 | 1.265x | 36.1% | CAUTION | |
| 61 | Football Legend PackFootballCurrent79% | $2,500 | $3,309.53 | 1.120x | 45.5% | CAUTION | |
| 62 | Sports Platinum PackFootballCurrent57% | $500 | $599.54 | 1.050x | 33.9% | CAUTION | |
| 63 | $500 Shipwreck Coins PackShipwreck | $500 | $560.44 | 0.960x | 35.6% | CAUTION | |
| 64 | Baseball Mythic PackBaseballVintage43% | $5,000 | $5,353.94 | 0.906x | 50.0% | SKIP | |
| 65 | SLAM PackSLAM Magazine | $120 | $119.87 | 0.845x | 24.2% | SKIP | |
| 66 | $500 U.S. Coins PackUSVintage90% | $500 | $488.84 | 0.827x | 18.9% | SKIP | |
| 67 | Wildcard Platinum PackShipwreckCurrent55% | $500 | $456.07 | 0.821x | 23.9% | SKIP | |
| 68 | Baseball Diamond PackBaseballVintage40% | $1,000 | $956.60 | 0.809x | 39.4% | SKIP | |
| 69 | Pokémon Mythic PackPokémonModern44% | $5,000 | $4,708.28 | 0.803x | 26.7% | SKIP | |
| 70 | Classic Watch BoxWatches | $5,000 | $4,650.27 | 0.787x | 25.0% | SKIP | |
| 71 | Hockey Platinum PackHockeyCurrent59% | $500 | $459.79 | 0.778x | 30.4% | SKIP | |
| 72 | Baseball Legend PackBaseballVintage67% | $2,500 | $2,266.12 | 0.767x | 18.2% | SKIP | |
| 73 | $1500 U.S. Coins PackUSVintage89% | $1,500 | $1,277.74 | 0.721x | 11.1% | SKIP | |
| 74 | Basketball Legend PackBasketballCurrent73% | $2,500 | $2,019.75 | 0.683x | 13.3% | SKIP | |
| 75 | Basketball Mythic PackBasketballCurrent38% | $5,000 | $3,989.40 | 0.675x | 21.1% | SKIP | |
| 76 | Comic Diamond PackD.C. Comic | $1,000 | $797.77 | 0.675x | 14.3% | SKIP | |
135 packs are not ranked here — no price on record, too few indexed pulls, or data too stale to judge. They stay off the ranking rather than padding it out. How packs qualify
02 / Big hits
Today's biggest hits
03 / The toolkit
Everything you need to buy with an edge
Calibrated EV & ratios
Decay-weighted expected value that tracks what packs have been returning lately — ranked by cash-out ratio, so 1.0 really is the break-even line.
Rip Advisor verdicts
BUY, CAUTION, or SKIP on every pack, scored 0–100 from cash-out ROI, median pulls, trend, and sample size. The formula is public.
Observed odds
Odds reconstructed from thousands of real pulls — including 48-hour tier shifts that show when the good cards have stopped coming out.
Floor safety & dilution
How much of a pack’s EV rides on the top 2% of pulls — so you know a lottery when you see one.
Buyback reality
The observed instant-offer ratio versus the platform’s measured 84.6% of FMV. Every verdict already uses the real cash-out number.
+EV alerts
The moment any pack crosses above 1.0, it posts to Discord. Buy when the math is in your favor, not when you feel lucky.
04 / Pro
The numbers are free. The speed is Pro.
Core methodology, limited rankings and educational tools stay free. Pro delivers the edge to you — instant +EV and big-hit alerts in your Discord, full history, and CSV export.
05 / FAQ
Common questions
- Which Courtyard pack is the best value right now?
- Football Platinum Pack currently has the highest cash-out EV ratio at 1.226x, from 132 indexed pulls at 82/100 data quality. Only packs that clear our reliability threshold are eligible for this answer, out of 211 tracked. Rankings refresh as new pulls are indexed.
- What is a mystery pack EV tracker?
- A tool that computes the expected value (EV) of mystery packs from real recorded pulls. PullValue indexes every Courtyard pull and publishes each pack’s live EV, EV ratio, observed odds, and hit rate so buyers can check the math before ripping.
- What does a cash-out ratio above 1.0 mean?
- The pack returns more than it costs on average, after Courtyard’s buyback haircut. The plain EV ratio divides by price at sticker FMV, where 1.0 is still a loss the size of the haircut — so the cash-out ratio is the one that breaks even at 1.0, and the one PullValue ranks by.
- Are PullValue’s odds the same as Courtyard’s posted odds?
- No — they are observed odds, reconstructed from thousands of real pulls. They reflect what actually came out of the pack, including how the pool changes as chase cards get pulled.
- How does PullValue calculate a pack’s EV?
- Every indexed pull’s fair market value (FMV) is averaged with decay weighting — recent pulls count more — so the calibrated EV tracks what the pack has been returning lately rather than its lifetime average. It measures observed pulls, not remaining inventory, which Courtyard does not publish. The full formula is documented on the methodology page.
- Is PullValue free?
- The free tier shows the top 3 packs in full — live EV, odds, verdicts — plus the pull feed and every guide. Pro unlocks the complete rankings for every tracked pack, instant +EV alerts, and exports.
06 / The method
How mystery pack EV works
Expected value
EV is the average fair-market value of everything pulled from a pack, computed across every pull we have indexed for it using Courtyard's own FMV estimates. An EV above the pack price means the average rip returns more than it costs.
Hit rate
The share of pulls worth at least the pack price. Two packs can share an EV while feeling completely different: a high hit rate pays out steadily, a low one is carried by rare chase cards.
Sample size
EV on a dozen pulls is noise; on thousands it is signal. We show the sample next to every number so you can judge how much to trust it — and the history chart shows how EV drifts as chase cards leave the pool.
Go deeper on pack math
The concepts behind every ranking on this page, explained with the same live data.











