2024 Paradise Dragona - sv7a #073/064 Skarmory - Art Rare Holo (CGC 10 GEM MINT)$24
2023 Pokémon Card 151 #178/165 Tangela - Art Rare Holo (CGC 10 PRISTINE)$39
2024 High Class Pack: Terastal Fest ex - sv8a #063/187 Espeon ex - Holo (CGC 10 PRISTINE)$20
2026 Pokémon Asc EN-Ascended Heroes #236 Slurpuff - Illustration Rare (PSA 9 MINT)$18
2023 Future Flash #075/066 Aipom - Art Rare Holo (CGC 10 PRISTINE)$34
2025 Pokémon Sv11b-Black Bolt #172 Genesect EX - Holo Special Art Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$61
2022 Pokémon Sword & Shield Lost Origin #TG06 Gengar - Full Art (PSA 8 NM-MT)$56
2024 Panini Donruss Optic #235 JJ McCarthy - Orange (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$119
2025 Mega Dream ex - M2a #229/193 Mega Hawlucha ex - Mega Attack Rare Holo (CGC 10 GEM MINT)$18
2019 Panini Hoops Premium Stock Class of 2019 #9 Ja Morant (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$15
2025 Pokémon Dri EN-Destined Rivals #219 Team Rocket's Persian EX - Holo Ultra Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$43
2022 Incandescent Arcana #073/068 Smeargle - Character Rare Holo (CGC 10 PRISTINE)$26
2024 Super Electric Breaker - sv8 #112/106 Magneton - Art Rare Holo (CGC 8.5 NM-MT+)$12
Pokémon Scarlet & Violet Destined Rivals (1 Booster Pack - Art May Vary)$11
2023 Trading Card Game Classic - CLV, CLC, CLB #010/034 Suicune ex - Blastoise & Suicune ex Deck - CLB Holo (CGC 10 GEM MINT)$12
2022 Pokémon Go #018 Radiant Blastoise - Holo (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$144
2025 One Piece Starter Deck ST21-EX Gear 5 #003 Sanji - Alternate Art (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$74
2023 Clay Burst #082/071 Flamigo - Art Rare Holo (CGC 10 PRISTINE)$21
2023 Pokémon Mew EN-151 #183 Charizard EX - Holo Ultra Rare (PSA 9 MINT)$51
2021 VMAX Climax #119/184 Rayquaza V - Holo (CGC 10 GEM MINT)$202024 Paradise Dragona - sv7a #073/064 Skarmory - Art Rare Holo (CGC 10 GEM MINT)$242023 Pokémon Card 151 #178/165 Tangela - Art Rare Holo (CGC 10 PRISTINE)$392024 High Class Pack: Terastal Fest ex - sv8a #063/187 Espeon ex - Holo (CGC 10 PRISTINE)$202026 Pokémon Asc EN-Ascended Heroes #236 Slurpuff - Illustration Rare (PSA 9 MINT)$182023 Future Flash #075/066 Aipom - Art Rare Holo (CGC 10 PRISTINE)$342025 Pokémon Sv11b-Black Bolt #172 Genesect EX - Holo Special Art Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$612022 Pokémon Sword & Shield Lost Origin #TG06 Gengar - Full Art (PSA 8 NM-MT)$562024 Panini Donruss Optic #235 JJ McCarthy - Orange (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$1192025 Mega Dream ex - M2a #229/193 Mega Hawlucha ex - Mega Attack Rare Holo (CGC 10 GEM MINT)$182019 Panini Hoops Premium Stock Class of 2019 #9 Ja Morant (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$152025 Pokémon Dri EN-Destined Rivals #219 Team Rocket's Persian EX - Holo Ultra Rare (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$432022 Incandescent Arcana #073/068 Smeargle - Character Rare Holo (CGC 10 PRISTINE)$262024 Super Electric Breaker - sv8 #112/106 Magneton - Art Rare Holo (CGC 8.5 NM-MT+)$12Pokémon Scarlet & Violet Destined Rivals (1 Booster Pack - Art May Vary)$112023 Trading Card Game Classic - CLV, CLC, CLB #010/034 Suicune ex - Blastoise & Suicune ex Deck - CLB Holo (CGC 10 GEM MINT)$122022 Pokémon Go #018 Radiant Blastoise - Holo (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$1442025 One Piece Starter Deck ST21-EX Gear 5 #003 Sanji - Alternate Art (PSA 10 GEM MINT)$742023 Clay Burst #082/071 Flamigo - Art Rare Holo (CGC 10 PRISTINE)$212023 Pokémon Mew EN-151 #183 Charizard EX - Holo Ultra Rare (PSA 9 MINT)$512021 VMAX Climax #119/184 Rayquaza V - Holo (CGC 10 GEM MINT)$20Live EV & observed odds · Courtyard mystery packs
Know what a pack is worth before you rip it.
PullValue is a free expected-value tracker for Courtyard mystery packs. It indexes every recorded pull and turns it into live EV ratios, observed odds, hit rates, and BUY/SKIP verdicts — so you buy the packs the math likes.
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Best value now
GREAT VALUEComic Pro Pack
1.940x
- Calibrated EV
- $96.99
- Pack price
- $50.00
- Packs tracked
- 38
- Pulls indexed
- 159
- Top EV right now
- $3,675
- Last pull indexed
- 6d ago
Courtyard pack rankings by EV ratio
Every tracked pack ranked by live, decay-weighted EV ratio — refreshed every 10 minutes as new pulls are indexed. 1.0 is break-even.
Sort:
Comic Pro Pack
NO DATA#1$971.940x
- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 50.0%
- Sample
- 2
Pokémon Ultra (Spicy)
NO DATA#2$4651.868x
- Price
- $249
- Hit rate
- 100.0%
- Sample
- 1
Football Pro Pack
NO DATA#3$861.718x
- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 100.0%
- Sample
- 1
Basketball Master Pack
NO DATA#4$1701.700x
- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 100.0%
- Sample
- 1
The Eras Collection: Encore (Spicy)
NO DATA#5$1001.449x
- Price
- $69
- Hit rate
- 75.0%
- Sample
- 4
Football Ultra Pack
NO DATA#6$3471.388x
- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 100.0%
- Sample
- 1
Baseball Pro Pack
NO DATA#7$601.206x
- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 33.3%
- Sample
- 3
Football Master Pack
NO DATA#8$1201.199x
- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 66.7%
- Sample
- 3
Pokémon Master Pack
SKIP#9$1071.067x
- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 40.0%
- Sample
- 5
Pokémon Starter Pack
CAUTION#10$261.054x
- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 32.1%
- Sample
- 53
Wildcard Master Pack
NO DATA#11$990.991x
- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 33.3%
- Sample
- 3
Pokémon Pro Pack
SKIP#12$480.956x
- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 20.0%
- Sample
- 5
Wildcard Starter Pack
SKIP#13$230.926x
- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 16.7%
- Sample
- 6
Wildcard Basic Pack
SKIP#14$140.907x
- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 11.1%
- Sample
- 18
One Piece Starter Pack
NO DATA#15$230.900x
- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 1
The Final Whistle: Spain
NO DATA#16$690.875x
- Price
- $79
- Hit rate
- 33.3%
- Sample
- 3
Sports Master Pack
NO DATA#17$860.859x
- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 1
Wildcard Ultra Pack
NO DATA#18$2140.856x
- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 1
Hockey Starter Pack
NO DATA#19$210.852x
- Price
- $25
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 1
Sports Pro Pack
NO DATA#20$430.850x
- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 1
One Piece Pro Pack
NO DATA#21$420.846x
- Price
- $50
- Hit rate
- 33.3%
- Sample
- 3
Pokémon Basic Pack
SKIP#22$120.828x
- Price
- $15
- Hit rate
- 12.5%
- Sample
- 8
One Piece Platinum Pack
NO DATA#23$4130.826x
- Price
- $500
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 1
Sports Ultra Pack
NO DATA#24$2030.812x
- Price
- $250
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 2
Baseball Master Pack
NO DATA#25$790.790x
- Price
- $100
- Hit rate
- 0.0%
- Sample
- 1
Classic Watch Box
NO DATA#26$3,675—
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1
Pokémon VIP (Spicy)
NO DATA#27$756—
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1
The World Stage VIP Pack
NO DATA#28$417—
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1
Summer Pull Party (Spicy)
NO DATA#29$283—
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2
The Eras Collection: Origins
NO DATA#30$123—
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 5
The Eras Collection: Ascension
NO DATA#31$118—
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2
One Piece Master Pack
NO DATA#32$74—
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1
The Eras Collection: Generation
NO DATA#33$68—
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2
The Final Whistle: Argentina
NO DATA#34$61—
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3
The Eras Collection: Encore
NO DATA#35$58—
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 2
Sealed Pokémon Booster
NO DATA#36$30—
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 6
Sports Starter Pack
NO DATA#37$15—
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 1
Sealed Magic: The Gathering Booster
NO DATA#38$14—
- Price
- —
- Hit rate
- —
- Sample
- 3
Full comparison table
Every pack, every number, side by side.
| # | Pack | Price | Calibrated EV | EV ratio | Hit rate | 7d trend | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comic Pro PackMarvel Comic | $50 | $96.99 | 1.940x | 50.0% | — | NO DATA |
| 2 | Pokémon Ultra (Spicy)Pokémon | $249 | $465.10 | 1.868x | 100.0% | — | NO DATA |
| 3 | Football Pro PackFootball | $50 | $85.90 | 1.718x | 100.0% | — | NO DATA |
| 4 | Basketball Master PackBasketball | $100 | $170.00 | 1.700x | 100.0% | — | NO DATA |
| 5 | The Eras Collection: Encore (Spicy)Pokémon | $69 | $99.96 | 1.449x | 75.0% | — | NO DATA |
| 6 | Football Ultra PackFootball | $250 | $347.10 | 1.388x | 100.0% | — | NO DATA |
| 7 | Baseball Pro PackBaseball | $50 | $60.30 | 1.206x | 33.3% | — | NO DATA |
| 8 | Football Master PackFootball | $100 | $119.87 | 1.199x | 66.7% | — | NO DATA |
| 9 | Pokémon Master PackPokémon | $100 | $106.74 | 1.067x | 40.0% | — | SKIP |
| 10 | Pokémon Starter PackPokémon | $25 | $26.35 | 1.054x | 32.1% | — | CAUTION |
| 11 | Wildcard Master PackPokémon | $100 | $99.10 | 0.991x | 33.3% | — | NO DATA |
| 12 | Pokémon Pro PackPokémon | $50 | $47.78 | 0.956x | 20.0% | — | SKIP |
| 13 | Wildcard Starter PackOne Piece | $25 | $23.15 | 0.926x | 16.7% | — | SKIP |
| 14 | Wildcard Basic PackPokémon | $15 | $13.60 | 0.907x | 11.1% | — | SKIP |
| 15 | One Piece Starter PackOne Piece | $25 | $22.50 | 0.900x | 0.0% | — | NO DATA |
| 16 | The Final Whistle: SpainSoccer | $79 | $69.16 | 0.875x | 33.3% | — | NO DATA |
| 17 | Sports Master PackBaseball | $100 | $85.90 | 0.859x | 0.0% | — | NO DATA |
| 18 | Wildcard Ultra PackOne Piece | $250 | $214.00 | 0.856x | 0.0% | — | NO DATA |
| 19 | Hockey Starter PackHockey | $25 | $21.30 | 0.852x | 0.0% | — | NO DATA |
| 20 | Sports Pro PackFootball | $50 | $42.50 | 0.850x | 0.0% | — | NO DATA |
| 21 | One Piece Pro PackOne Piece | $50 | $42.29 | 0.846x | 33.3% | — | NO DATA |
| 22 | Pokémon Basic PackPokémon | $15 | $12.42 | 0.828x | 12.5% | — | SKIP |
| 23 | One Piece Platinum PackOne Piece | $500 | $413.00 | 0.826x | 0.0% | — | NO DATA |
| 24 | Sports Ultra PackBaseball | $250 | $202.91 | 0.812x | 0.0% | — | NO DATA |
| 25 | Baseball Master PackBaseball | $100 | $79.00 | 0.790x | 0.0% | — | NO DATA |
| 26 | Classic Watch BoxWatches | — | $3,675.00 | — | — | — | NO DATA |
| 27 | Pokémon VIP (Spicy)Pokémon | — | $756.00 | — | — | — | NO DATA |
| 28 | The World Stage VIP PackSoccer | — | $417.00 | — | — | — | NO DATA |
| 29 | Summer Pull Party (Spicy)One Piece | — | $283.44 | — | — | — | NO DATA |
| 30 | The Eras Collection: OriginsPokémon | — | $122.50 | — | — | — | NO DATA |
| 31 | The Eras Collection: AscensionPokémon | — | $117.60 | — | — | — | NO DATA |
| 32 | One Piece Master PackOne Piece | — | $73.90 | — | — | — | NO DATA |
| 33 | The Eras Collection: GenerationPokémon | — | $68.45 | — | — | — | NO DATA |
| 34 | The Final Whistle: ArgentinaSoccer | — | $60.87 | — | — | — | NO DATA |
| 35 | The Eras Collection: EncorePokémon | — | $58.25 | — | — | — | NO DATA |
| 36 | Sealed Pokémon BoosterPokémon | — | $29.73 | — | — | — | NO DATA |
| 37 | Sports Starter PackBasketball | — | $14.70 | — | — | — | NO DATA |
| 38 | Sealed Magic: The Gathering BoosterMagic The Gathering | — | $14.25 | — | — | — | NO DATA |
Everything you need to buy with an edge
Built from the complaints collectors actually post: optimistic averages, hidden haircuts, and pools that quietly drain.
01
Calibrated EV & ratios
Decay-weighted expected value that reflects the pool as it exists now — ranked by EV ratio, with 1.0 as the break-even line.
02
Rip Advisor verdicts
BUY, CAUTION, or SKIP on every pack, scored 0–100 from cash-out ROI, median pulls, trend, and sample size. The formula is public.
03
Observed odds
Odds reconstructed from thousands of real pulls — including 48-hour tier shifts that show when the good cards are leaving the pool.
04
Floor safety & dilution
How much of a pack’s EV rides on the top 2% of pulls — so you know a lottery when you see one.
05
Buyback reality
The observed instant-offer ratio versus the advertised ~90% of FMV. Every verdict already uses the real cash-out number.
06
+EV alerts
The moment any pack crosses above 1.0, it posts to Discord. Buy when the math is in your favor, not when you feel lucky.
The numbers are free. The speed is Pro.
Rankings, odds, and verdicts stay free forever. Pro delivers the edge to you — instant +EV and big-hit alerts in your Discord, full history, and CSV export.
Common questions
- Which Courtyard pack is the best value right now?
- Comic Pro Pack currently has the highest EV ratio at 1.940x of all 38 tracked packs. Rankings refresh every 10 minutes as new pulls are indexed.
- What is a mystery pack EV tracker?
- A tool that computes the expected value (EV) of mystery packs from real recorded pulls. PullValue indexes every Courtyard pull and publishes each pack’s live EV, EV ratio, observed odds, and hit rate so buyers can check the math before ripping.
- What does an EV ratio above 1.0 mean?
- The pack pays out more than it costs on average (+EV). Below 1.0, the average rip returns less than the pack price. PullValue ranks every pack by its live, decay-weighted EV ratio.
- Are PullValue’s odds the same as Courtyard’s posted odds?
- No — they are observed odds, reconstructed from thousands of real pulls. They reflect what actually came out of the pack, including how the pool changes as chase cards get pulled.
- How does PullValue calculate a pack’s EV?
- Every indexed pull’s fair market value (FMV) is averaged with decay weighting — recent pulls count more — so the calibrated EV reflects the pool as it exists now. The full formula is documented on the methodology page.
- Is PullValue free?
- The free tier shows the top 3 packs in full — live EV, odds, verdicts — plus the pull feed and every guide. Pro unlocks the complete rankings for every tracked pack, instant +EV alerts, and exports.
How mystery pack EV works
Expected value
EV is the average fair-market value of everything pulled from a pack, computed across every pull we have indexed for it using Courtyard's own FMV estimates. An EV above the pack price means the average rip returns more than it costs.
Hit rate
The share of pulls worth at least the pack price. Two packs can share an EV while feeling completely different: a high hit rate pays out steadily, a low one is carried by rare chase cards.
Sample size
EV on a dozen pulls is noise; on thousands it is signal. We show the sample next to every number so you can judge how much to trust it — and the history chart shows how EV drifts as chase cards leave the pool.
Go deeper on pack math
The concepts behind every ranking on this page, explained with the same live data.